🚨为什么特朗普威胁要对加拿大征收100%的关税，如果加拿大与中国签署贸易协议？ 加拿大约75%-76%的出口产品销往美国，每年超过4500亿美元。100%的关税将使大多数加拿大出口产品一夜之间失去竞争力。 他的核心担忧在于贸易路线。如果加拿大与中国签署特殊的贸易协议，中国企业可以先将货物运往加拿大，然后再转运到美国，从而绕过美国的关税。特朗普称之为将加拿大当作转运港。这将彻底破坏美国对华贸易政策。 我们已经见识过关税的威力。 2018-2019年，美国对加拿大钢铁征收25%的关税，对加拿大铝征收10%的关税。结果，加拿大对美国的钢铁出口下降了41%，铝出口下降了19%。 约166亿加元的贸易受到影响。一些加拿大工厂削减了产量和裁员。供应链运转速度变慢，成本上升。 而这仅仅是10%-20%的关税造成的。但现在特朗普却在谈论100%的关税。 这将对汽车及零部件、能源出口、铝业、制造业和钢铁业造成冲击。 加拿大的经济与美国紧密相连。包括直接和间接贸易在内，加拿大与美国的贸易额约占其GDP的三分之二。 与此同时，加拿大一直在努力重建与中国的贸易关系。 中国是加拿大农产品（如油菜籽和海产品）的主要买家；加拿大希望进入中国的电动汽车和电池供应链；加拿大希望减少对单一贸易伙伴的依赖。 从经济角度来看，这对加拿大来说是合理的。但从政治角度来看，这将使加拿大陷入美中冲突的漩涡中心，加拿大经济将与市场一起遭受重大冲击。 🚨WHY IS TRUMP THREATING CANADA WITH 100% IF THEY SIGN A TRADE DEAL WITH CHINA ? Canada sends about 75%-76% of all its exports to the U.S. That is over $450 billion per year. A 100% tariff would make most Canadian exports uncompetitive overnight. His core concern is trade routing. If Canada signs special trade agreements with China, Chinese companies could move goods into Canada first and then send them into the U.S., bypassing American tariffs. Trump calls this using Canada as a drop off port. That would completely break U.S. trade policy against China. We have already seen what tariffs can do. In 2018-2019, the U.S. imposed 25% tariffs on Canadian steel, 10% tariffs on Canadian aluminum. And Canadian steel exports to the U.S. fell by 41% and Aluminum exports fell by 19%. About $16.6 billion CAD of trade was disrupted. Some Canadian plants cut production and jobs. Supply chains became slower and more expensive And that happened with just 10%-20% tarrifs. But now Trump is talking about 100% tariffs. That would hit Autos and auto parts, Energy exports, Aluminum, manufacturing and steel. Canada’s economy is deeply linked to the U.S. Trade with the U.S. equals roughly two thirds of Canada’s GDP when you include direct and indirect exposure. At the same time, Canada has been trying to rebuild trade with China. China is a major buyer