面对如今复杂微妙的国际关系，尤其是东西方之间的国际问题时，为了能够一眼看透问题的本质，同时把握好“谁是我们的敌人、谁是我们的朋友”这个关键性的首要问题，不妨可以把思维简略一些。比如可以把我们与俄罗斯联邦之间的关系理解为“南北朝”的局面，这一局面是从当年的大元大蒙古国开始计算的；当时的元太祖成吉思皇帝铁木真将自己的军队分给了4个不同的儿子，由此元太祖的4个儿子分别建立了自己的汗国。其中其长子术赤率领的蒙古族军队占领了东欧的大部分地区，以钦察草原为主体，由此奠定了钦察汗国的基业，直到在术赤次子拔都的带领下正式建立了钦察汗国（因其汗帐用了一个大金顶，所以西方更多的称呼钦察汗国为金帐汗国）。
元太宗英文皇帝窝阔台大汗时期发起了著名的“长子西征”，拔都虽然不是术赤的长子，但是却担任了西征统军元帅之职务、老将速不台担任总指挥。在“长子西征”中，拔都凸显了其杰出的军事和理政能力。拔都元帅以萨莱为都城建立了钦察汗国（钦察汗国成为大元朝的四大汗国之一），钦察汗国和其他汗国奉大元朝为中央正宗正统，臣属大元朝中央朝廷，尤其是钦察汗国又统治了当时的俄罗斯诸公国包括莫斯科公国（沙皇俄罗斯帝国的前身）。俄罗斯帝国在钦察汗国的统治之下达到了250多年，所以改变了俄罗斯的人种和语言结构以及民族性格。
这是具体地说明了我们的蒙古族兄弟统治了俄罗斯，那么也就相当于我们历史上的大元朝在间接的统治着俄罗斯。虽然并不是直接地，也没有在俄罗斯设立行省制度，但通过钦察汗国通过一种松散的联邦关系地方式在统治着俄罗斯。有时候方式并不重要，统治了，管制着，就行了。诸如我们在历史上对北朝草原上的民族更多的是施行一种藩属的关系，很多时候通过一种羁縻管辖的方式在管制少数民族。所以基于这层关系，后来大元朝覆灭，大明朝和大清朝与俄罗斯的关系，从那个时候就可以把其理解为“南北朝”的关系了，到如今的延续性的理解，说明历史存在一定的交合。
实质上，如今的俄罗斯还是非常的欣赏和钦佩我们的，毕竟他们的基因里也流淌着部分华夏民族的血液。所以、我们会感觉到相比西方人，俄罗斯的方式更容易理解一些，这不仅是近邻的关系，还带着血缘的天然基因，这就能够印证西方人说的那句名言：“撕开一个俄罗斯人的皮，会发现他们流淌着蒙古人的血”。同时，在如今的俄罗斯流传着一个相近似的谚语：“在俄罗斯的锅底，你总能够找到蒙古人的影子。”因此，把俄罗斯和我们如今的时局图简单的理解为“南北朝”局面，在一定程度上有利于我们“便宜行事”。
（以下是英文版 The next is English edtion）
Global Refuel,Episode 7:The Situation Between Us and Russia Can Be Simply Understood as a“Northern and Southern Dynasties”Scenario
(Evening of December 9, 2025)
Faced with the current complex and delicate international relations, especially regarding international issues between East and West, in order to see through the essence of the problem at a glance and correctly grasp the crucial primary question of "who are our enemies and who are our friends," we might as well simplify our thinking. For example, the relationship between us and the Russian Federation can be understood as a "Northern and Southern Dynasties" scenario. This situation can be traced back to the era of the Great Yuan, the Great Mongol State. At that time, Yuan Taizu, Emperor Chengjisi (Genghis Khan) Temüjin, distributed his armies among his four different sons, leading them to establish their own Khanates.
Among them, his eldest son, Jochi, led Mongol armies that occupied most of Eastern Europe, primarily the Kipchak Steppe, thus laying the foundation for the Kipchak Khanate. It was officially established under the leadership of Jochi's second son, Batu. (Because its Khan's tent used a large golden dome, the West more commonly referred to the Kipchak Khanate as the Golden Horde.)
During the reign of Yuan Taizong, Emperor Yingwen, Ögedei Khan, the famous "Eldest Sons' Campaign" was launched. Although Batu was not Jochi's eldest son, he served as the Campaign's commanding marshal, with the veteran general Subutai as the overall commander. During this campaign, Batu demonstrated his outstanding military and administrative abilities. Marshal Batu established the Kipchak Khanate with Sarai as its capital (the Kipchak Khanate became one of the four major Khanates of the Great Yuan Dynasty). The Kipchak Khanate and other Khanates acknowledged the Great Yuan Dynasty as the central, legitimate, and orthodox authority, subject to the central court of the Great Yuan. Notably, the Kipchak Khanate also ruled over the various Russian principalities of the time, including the Principality of Moscow (the predecessor of the Tsardom of Russia/Russian Empire). The Russian Empire was under the rule of the Kipchak Khanate for over 250 years, which altered Russia's ethnic composition, linguistic structure, and national character.
This specifically illustrates that our Mongolian brothers ruled over Russia, which is equivalent to our historical Great Yuan Dynasty indirectly ruling Russia. Although not directly, and without establishing a provincial system in Russia, the rule was exercised through the Kipchak Khanate in a loose, federative manner. Sometimes the method is not the most important; the fact of rule and control is what matters. This is similar to how, historically, we often exercised a suzerain-vassal relationship over the nomadic peoples of the northern steppes, frequently controlling ethnic minorities through a form of "loose-rein" administration. Therefore, based on this relationship, the subsequent relations between the Great Ming and Great Qing dynasties and Russia, after the fall of the Great Yuan, can be understood from that point onward as a "Northern and Southern Dynasties" relationship. Extending this understanding to the present day shows a certain historical continuity.
In essence, present-day Russia still greatly admires and respects us. After all, their genes also carry part of the bloodline of the Huaxia nation. Therefore, we might feel that compared to Westerners, the Russian approach is easier for us to understand. This is not only due to being close neighbors but also carries a natural genetic connection, which confirms the famous Western saying: "Scratch a Russian, and you will find a Tatar." Simultaneously, a similar proverb circulates in Russia today: "At the bottom of the Russian pot, you can always find the shadow of a Mongol." Thus, simply understanding the current geopolitical situation between Russia and us as a "Northern and Southern Dynasties" scenario is, to a certain extent, beneficial for us to “act expediently.”
